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The combination of the U.S.-China trade tensions, central banks turning off the money taps and cooling growth will see world stocks .MIWD00000PUS suffer their first double-digit loss in any year since the 2008 global financial crisis. Fund managers around the globe reduced their exposure to equities to 47.2 percent from 47.7 percent in November and 50.1 in January, which makes its the biggest shift out of stocks in a calendar year since Reuters started its survey in 2013. “Investors are doubting global growth and fearing a recession with uncertainty over the direction of trade wars at a time when most global central banks have entered or (are) about to enter the tightening cycle,” head of multi asset at Liontrust Asset Management John Husselbee said.
A total of 45 funds took part in the poll conducted from Dec, 7 to Dec, 19, Fixed income holdings rose to 39.3 percent, a touch higher than October, while cash levels - a key gauge of investor caution - rose to their highest since November 2016 at 6.1 percent, It means that cash holdings have risen more than 2 percentage points since the start of this year and it will be the first year since 2013 that there has been any kind of rise in cash levels at all, Across equity portfolios, fund managers have cut back hardest over the last month on UK stocks as the Brexit process has jcpenney cufflinks been thrown into fresh chaos..
UK holdings have fallen below 8 percent for the first time in the poll’s lifetime and slipped by more than 2 percentage points over the year. A separate question in the poll also shows that most investors still expect Brexit to happen. There are warning lights for the global property market too. Real-estate allocations are also now at their lowest level in the poll’s history at 1.2 percent. On the flip side holdings in U.S. stocks have crept back up to a record high of 43.4 percent this month and investors have also nudged up their Asian levels for a second month running as the U.S.-China trade war salvos have eased a little.
WASHINGTON (Reuters - The number of Americans filing applications for jobless benefits rose marginally from near a 49-year low last week, suggesting underlying strength in the labor market and broader economy, Initial claims for state unemployment benefits increased 8,000 to a seasonally adjusted 214,000 for the week ended Dec, 15, the Labor Department jcpenney cufflinks said on Thursday, Claims had dropped to 206,000 in the prior week, close to the 202,000 reached in mid-September, which was the lowest level since December 1969..
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast claims increasing to 216,000 in the latest week. The Federal Reserve raised interest rates on Wednesday for the fourth time this year, but forecast fewer rate hikes next year and signaled its tightening cycle is nearing an end in the face of financial market volatility and slowing global growth. The U.S. central bank said “the labor market has continued to strengthen,” and described job gains as having been “strong, on average, in recent months.”.
The Labor Department said no claims were estimated last week, Claims have been volatile in recent weeks, with some economists saying an early Thanksgiving holiday had pulled forward seasonal layoffs, throwing off a jcpenney cufflinks model that the government uses to smooth the data for seasonal fluctuations, The four-week moving average of initial claims, considered a better measure of labor market trends as it irons out week-to-week volatility, fell 2,750 to 222,000 last week, A jump in filings to an eight-month high of 235,000 during the week ended Nov, 24 had stirred concerns the labor market was slowing..
Last week’s claims data covered the survey period for the nonfarm payrolls component of December’s employment report. Claims fell 11,000 between the November and December survey weeks, suggesting some improvement in job growth this month. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 155,000 jobs last month after surging by 237,000 in October. November’s slowdown in job growth was largely blamed on a shortage of workers amid a tight labor market. The unemployment rate is near a 49-year low of 3.7 percent and not too far from the Fed’s forecast of 3.5 percent by the end of 2019.
TOKYO (Reuters) - A Tokyo court upheld a decision not to extend the detention of former Nissan Motor Chairman Carlos Ghosn and former Representative Director Greg Kelly, public broadcaster NHK said on Thursday, a move that brings them closer to a release on bail, The court rejected prosecutors’ appeal against the original decision, Ghosn and Kelly were indicted on Dec, 10 for alleged financial misconduct in five years to March jcpenney cufflinks 2015, They were rearrested on the same day for similar allegations for three years to March 2018, and Thursday was the last day of their 10-day detention period following the rearrest..